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PUBLICATION
SPOTLIGHT
30
July 2026
Defying out-of-consensus calls for a surprise rate increase at its July 28-29 FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve chose to hold off on moving for now.
However, three dissents in favor of lifting policy rates (Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan) offered evidence of a "good family fight".
That there was "nothing inertial" about the Fed's discussions, policy, or strategy may signal momentum toward a possible September rate hike (or even balance sheet tightening), notwithstanding Chair Warsh's reticence.
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