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PUBLICATIONS
Recap | October 27, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary Potential resumption of US-Iran fighting in November threatens to reignite regional war and precipitate supply disruptions if no deal is reached. The Federal Reserve will release its latest monetary policy decision on Wednesda
Oct 289 min read
Recap | October 13, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary Saudi-Houthi fighting, Hormuz attacks, and Iran's preparations for a renewed conflict with the US highlighted Middle East uncertainty. Ahead of September price data, Federal Reserve officials looked past the October FOMC meeti
Oct 148 min read
Recap | October 10, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary While the US and Iran have avoided direct attacks for now, fighting in Yemen and Saudi Arabia has escalated as key Middle East waterways remain contested. A White House committee to investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook will test
Oct 1111 min read
Recap | October 6, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary With the US and Iran at odds over conditions, the conflict between Houthi rebels in Yemen and Saudi-backed government forces intensified amid a coalition counteroffensive. Restoration of Middle East crude supply has tempered o
Oct 77 min read
Recap | October 2, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary G7 countries announced a plan to release additional reserves to address fuel supply shortages amid ongoing conflicts and diplomatic uncertainty. Moderating inflation and softer employment data reduced pressure on the Fed to ac
Oct 38 min read
Recap | September 29, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary A restart of Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline and transfers through and around Hormuz have relieved pressure on oil while the US and Iran continue mediation. Federal Reserve officials acknowledged inflation risks but an Octob
Sep 309 min read
Recap | September 25, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary Oil fluctuates with uncertain US-Iran diplomacy amid Saudi supply concerns and record diesel prices. Growth, inflation, and policy prospects lift government bond yields while Federal Reserve officials point to potential for ad
Sep 278 min read
Recap | September 22, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary Ahead of this week's Trump-Xi summit in Washington, a meeting between the US and Iran at the United Nations in New York offered an opportunity for high-level dialogue amid threats of escalation. Plans to restart Saudi Arabia's
Sep 237 min read
Recap | September 18, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary The Federal Reserve hiked rates in light of economic strength and elevated inflation coming against a backdrop of geopolitical uncertainty. Oil markets have fluctuated in response to a developing conflict between Houthis in Ye
Sep 208 min read
Fed Update | September 2026 FOMC - Warsh's Test
Informational commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation of any kind. Without suitable progress on inflation, the Federal Reserve agreed there was work to do. By Edward von der Schmidt 2026-09-17 | Summary | Statement | Summary of Economic Projections | Prepared Remarks | Press Conference | Takeaways | Disclaimers Summary The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to hike policy rates by 25 basis points (to 3.75-4.00%) to demonstrate its commitment to ensurin
Sep 176 min read
Recap | September 15, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms. What is the Recap? CONTEXT = Background ANALYSIS = Reasoning VIEWPOINT = Opinion By Edward von der Schmidt Summary Markets prepare for September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision, new economic projections, and Warsh press conference for policy insight. Houthi gains in Yemen and Saudi Arabia's pipeline closure pressure oil suppl
Sep 167 min read
Recap | September 11, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Sep 128 min read
Recap | September 8, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Sep 98 min read
Recap | September 4, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Sep 47 min read
Recap | September 1, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Sep 27 min read
Recap | August 28, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Aug 308 min read
Fed Update | A Jackson Hole Riposte
Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Aug 294 min read
Recap | August 25, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Aug 269 min read
Recap | August 23, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time (What is the Recap?).
Aug 249 min read
Recap | August 18, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time (What is the Recap?). Commentary - NOT advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers and Terms.
Aug 1910 min read
Outlook | Much ado about the Strait of Hormuz
The Outlook is an interpretation of current events informed by grounded research. Please refer to our Recap publications for the in-depth analysis underpinning these essays.
Aug 164 min read
Notes | What is the Recap?
The Recap is a structured, markets intelligence brief designed to offer clarity and save you time. It is personally vetted and written by a research analyst and discusses important macroeconomic and geopolitical topics. The Recap will generally be published on Tuesday and Friday evenings (Pacific Time).
Aug 114 min read
Recap | August 9, 2026
Relevant summaries written by a research analyst to save you time. Commentary - not advice or a recommendation. See Disclaimers.
Aug 1010 min read
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