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PUBLICATIONS
Recap | 21 July 2025
Pressure mounts on Federal Reserve over renovation costs, mandate
Jul 223 min read
Digest | 9 July 2025
Trump's Brazil tariffs tied to Bolsonaro trial threaten trade war escalation, post-deal policy uncertainty.
Jul 103 min read
Digest | 8 July 2025
Reciprocal tariff rates and new sector-based levies bring back protectionist push.
Jul 95 min read
Roadmap | Summer 2025
Research is a practiced craft. Thoughtful exploration and informed composition require more time and effort than a cursory internet...
Jun 273 min read
Digest | 4 June 2025
In contrast to sluggish equities trading, Treasuries rallied on Wednesday as unexpectedly weak domestic data fanned optimism for Fed accommodation. The dollar weakened notwithstanding an anticipated ECB rate cut on Thursday. Ceasefires in Ukraine and Gaza did not appear any closer while ongoing trade negotiations did not yield any breakthroughs. CBO estimates figured heavily in legislative narratives on Capitol Hill. The Fed's Beige Book signaled slowing growth and labor mark
Jun 53 min read
Digest | 3 June 2025
With global equity indices approaching all-time highs, relatively calm markets belied diplomatic, policy, and economic uncertainty ahead of crucial meetings and data releases this week. Restrictive trade measures presented global headwinds and prompted reduced OECD growth forecasts. Middle East instability and a precarious path forward for Ukraine highlighted geopolitical risks. While the Senate contended with an Independence Day target for passing President Trump's 'Big Beau
Jun 44 min read
Digest | 2 June 2025
Geopolitical headlines dominated otherwise quiet trading Monday. Ukraine's sophisticated attack targeting Russian strategic bombers over the weekend changed the calculus of peace talks as entrenched negotiating positions beckoned presidential dialogue. In Europe, Polish elections raised challenges for the EU while the Netherlands governing coalition collapsed. US officials eyed a Trump-Xi call to resolve trade tensions over rare earths and semiconductors after security rhetor
Jun 35 min read
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