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PUBLICATIONS
Recap | 18 February 2026
US-Iran talks yield further dialogue but specter of conflict looms Ukraine and Russia negotiations stall over territory, US to monitor any peace Federal Reserve meeting minutes suggest extended rates pause Chipmakers lift stocks as oil rallies on Middle East concerns US data surprises point to resilient production and capital investment ECB succession plans eyed amid Lagarde reports (FT) US discusses arms for Taiwan with China, repeats nuclear testing allegations UN Security
Feb 197 min read
Recap | 15 February 2026
US and Europe emphasize 'shared interests' at Munich Security Conference US builds forces in Middle East ahead of mediation with Iran in Geneva Ukraine looks for security guarantees at US-brokered talks with Russia US inflation cools in January though price pressures remain White House reportedly weighs adjustments to metals' tariffs Europe eyes capital markets integration and global role for euro Administration eases sanctions on oil operations in Venezuela US reaches agreem
Feb 169 min read
Recap | 11 February 2026
US and Iran at odds over nuclear enrichment as military buildup continues Ukraine prepares spring voting plans ahead of bilateral talks with US NATO unveils Arctic Sentry exercises in advance of Munich conference Energy secretary visits Venezuela after US clears oil licenses US adds more jobs than expected and unemployment rate ticks lower in January Congressional Budget Office projects growing deficits over next decade Federal Reserve officials caution on inflation, prefer p
Feb 129 min read
Recap | 9 February 2026
Japan’s Takaichi secures mandate for conservative platform in election rout with tax cuts and defense spending in mind US warns on Strait of Hormuz as Iran holds firm on enrichment ahead of White House meeting with Israel’s Netanyahu Ukraine points to US-imposed June deadline for peace agreement with Russia; EU membership eyed Secretary Rubio to attend Munich Security Conference amid NATO shuffle Lifted by capital expenditure plans and limited supply, chipmakers bolster equit
Feb 1010 min read
Recap | 6 February 2026
US-Iran dialogue reset in Oman achieves limited progress New START lapse yields to US allegations of nuclear tests in China EU readies new sanctions on Russia ahead of reported US meetings with Ukraine Europe and China approach crypto with caution Equities recover as bitcoin meltdown abates for now Improving consumer sentiment for affluent masks labor market challenges Fed officials speak to employment risks, inflation mandate, and central bank independence Central banks in E
Feb 89 min read
Recap | 4 February 2026
US and Iran tentatively shift to nuclear negotiations in Oman Ukraine talks remain at impasse over Donbas China's Xi reaffirms strategic ties with Putin's Russia, speaks with Trump US announces joint critical minerals initiative to address supply chain risks AI cannibalization fuels technology selloff as metals swing to losses Private payroll gains underwhelm amid service sector strength Fed officials advocate pause as president presses for accommodation Bank of England and E
Feb 58 min read
Recap | 2 February 2026
US and Iran to meet amid tensions as diplomacy eyed in Istanbul President Trump announces trade understanding with India in bid to pressure Russia US creates strategic rare earths reserve President Trump names Kevin Warsh to lead Federal Reserve Metals' historic pullback met with dollar strength, risk asset calm Manufacturing PMI rebound belies underlying uncertainty Reserve Bank of Australia hikes rates on inflation concerns Postponed Russia-Ukraine talks back on in Abu Dhab
Feb 37 min read
Recap | 28 January 2026
Federal Reserve holds, signals extended pause US-Iran rhetoric escalates as Middle East urges calm Secretary Rubio testifies before Congress Gold vaults higher against dollar weakness while stocks flirt with records Big Tech's AI spending compounds chip shortages Census flags impact of reduced US immigration Consumer confidence declines in light of employment unease Bank of Canada, Banco Central do Brasil hold UK-China reset highlights global trade refactoring ASEAN ministeri
Jan 297 min read
Fed Update | Video: January 2026 FOMC Reaction
The Federal Reserve signaled that policy will remain in a holding pattern. Risks to employment and inflation appear to have lessened and the economic outlook has improved. A sharp deceleration in prices or rapid deterioration in labor markets could change the Fed's thinking and compel lowering rates sooner, but the FOMC believe they are "well-positioned" to consider the "extent and timing" of future policy adjustments. Given concerns surrounding the central bank's independenc
Jan 282 min read
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