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Digest | 21 April 2025

  • Edward von der Schmidt
  • Apr 21
  • 6 min read

Updated: 5 days ago

Nascent concerns about central bank independence amid tariff-related risks weighed on US assets on Monday. Major equity indices declined by more than 2%, gold climbed to a record above $3400 per troy ounce, the dollar plumbed multi-year lows, and longer-term Treasury yields climbed materially. The administration's discontent with the absence of monetary easing signals prompted rule of law considerations and reinforced fears of diminished inflation-fighting credibility. Trade statecraft and security cooperation highlighted a dynamic geopolitical environment as US-Iran negotiations progressed over the weekend and Ukraine talks came back into focus. Prevailing economic uncertainty will presumably keep the Fed on hold through June and likely until September, inflation-permitting.

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