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PUBLICATIONS
Recap | 4 February 2026
US and Iran tentatively shift to nuclear negotiations in Oman Ukraine talks remain at impasse over Donbas China's Xi reaffirms strategic ties with Putin's Russia, speaks with Trump US announces joint critical minerals initiative to address supply chain risks AI cannibalization fuels technology selloff as metals swing to losses Private payroll gains underwhelm amid service sector strength Fed officials advocate pause as president presses for accommodation Bank of England and E
Feb 58 min read
Recap | 2 February 2026
US and Iran to meet amid tensions as diplomacy eyed in Istanbul President Trump announces trade understanding with India in bid to pressure Russia US creates strategic rare earths reserve President Trump names Kevin Warsh to lead Federal Reserve Metals' historic pullback met with dollar strength, risk asset calm Manufacturing PMI rebound belies underlying uncertainty Reserve Bank of Australia hikes rates on inflation concerns Postponed Russia-Ukraine talks back on in Abu Dhab
Feb 37 min read
Recap | 28 January 2026
Federal Reserve holds, signals extended pause US-Iran rhetoric escalates as Middle East urges calm Secretary Rubio testifies before Congress Gold vaults higher against dollar weakness while stocks flirt with records Big Tech's AI spending compounds chip shortages Census flags impact of reduced US immigration Consumer confidence declines in light of employment unease Bank of Canada, Banco Central do Brasil hold UK-China reset highlights global trade refactoring ASEAN ministeri
Jan 297 min read
Recap | 26 January 2026
US-Ukraine-Russia talks in UAE aim to restore ceasefire momentum Iran's heated rhetoric confronts US build up of naval assets in Middle East New tariffs risk alienating major trading partners further The Fed will hold - but for how long and why? Gold climbs to another record amid stocks' advance Yen stems losses ahead of snap elections in Japan India and EU announce trade agreement Xi's purge targets China's top military official Final hostage recovery paves way for progress
Jan 277 min read
Recap | 21 January 2026
'Framework of a future deal' on Greenland and Arctic security calms NATO fears for now Supreme Court skepticism likely to keep Fed firings on hold 'Board of Peace' expands beyond Gaza Risk asset recovery follows Davos détente as stocks rally Trump narrows list for Powell's replacement Long-term Japanese bonds stem selling after snap election plans ahead of Bank of Japan meeting Iran tensions simmer, US bolsters naval presence US to meet with Russia, Ukraine in search of elusi
Jan 226 min read
Recap | 16 January 2026
US lawmakers visit Greenland as President Trump waves new tariff threat Back-channel diplomacy wards off US action in Iran where protests dissipate Canada treats with China on trade in sign of new world order US and Taiwan agree on tariff relief, chip investment Small-cap stocks outperform on week amid oil pullback Hassett loses front-runner status to succeed Powell as Fed Chair FOMC participants emphasize independence and signal January pause Administration explores addition
Jan 178 min read
Recap | 14 January 2026
US withholds response to Iran's crackdown amid tension Denmark cites 'fundamental disagreement' over Greenland US data points to ebbing price pressures, resilient activity Central bankers reiterate importance of Fed independence Equities relent as technology, bank stocks drag; oil and silver retreat China posts record surplus on diversified trade flows Japan plans elections while boosting ties with South Korea, Philippines US announces second phase of peace agreement in Gaza
Jan 158 min read
Recap | 12 January 2026
Facing probes, Powell defends Fed independence Iranian crackdown prompts US tariffs, military planning NATO's fate tied to Greenland's Stocks, metals climb to records as dollar weakens, oil rallies Credit card cap proposal weighs on banks Snap election prospects in Japan see weaker yen US steps up rhetoric against Russia at UN G7 plots rare earths strategy Germany inks agreements with India EU and China seek to resolve EV tariffs US and Taiwan negotiate tariffs, chip investme
Jan 136 min read
Recap | 9 January 2026
Iranian protests draw government defiance, crackdown Russia uses hypersonic missile in Ukraine US pushes for oil investment in Venezuela amid uncertainty, quarantine White House reiterates Greenland goal Tepid job growth highlights precarious labor market MBS purchases ordered in bid to lower borrowing rates Stocks defy geopolitical risks to climb to new records, oil rallies No tariff ruling from Supreme Court EU moves forward on Mercosur trade agreement India and Australia t
Jan 106 min read
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