top of page
PUBLICATIONS
Recap | 25 March 2026
Commentary - not advice. | Disclaimers HEADLINES | White House vacillates between exit and escalation as Iran rejects ceasefire | Israel expands into southern Lebanon in war against Hezbollah | Iran's effective control of Strait of Hormuz, attacks on neighbors reshape Gulf energy flows | With eye toward war's end, Washington reschedules Beijing summit for mid-May MARKETS & ECONOMIES | Likely or not, possibility of peace fosters stocks' resilience | Spiking import prices an
2 days ago13 min read
Recap | 23 March 2026
Commentary - not advice. | Disclaimers HEADLINES | After threatening Iran's power infrastructure, President Trump retreats from ultimatum | Gulf energy disruptions force contingencies and push for decisive end to Iran's control of Strait of Hormuz | Countries use strategic reserves, sanctions relief, and price controls to contain oil and gas prices MARKETS & ECONOMIES | Deescalating war rhetoric bolsters US equities amid oil's snap correction | With Powell transition unclea
4 days ago12 min read
Recap | 18 March 2026
| Federal Reserve signals extended hold with Powell to stay on | War in Middle East escalates amid assassinations and infrastructure attacks | Iran leverages control of Strait of Hormuz as President Trump's calls go unheeded | White House drums up relief measures to mitigate energy supply challenges | Oil and gas vault higher, stocks and bonds languish post-Fed | US wholesale inflation accelerates prior to Iran war, augurs higher prices | Brazil cuts, Australia hikes; Japan,
Mar 1910 min read
Recap | 16 March 2026
| US officials eye end of Iran war in weeks but conflict grows | President Trump calls for support in securing naval transit | Ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions, infrastructure attacks level oil and gas flows | US seeks to enlist China's help in strait, postpone leaders' summit | Tech sector lifts stocks amid oil lull | Private credit woes compound market risks | Oil shock adds to Fed's mandate tension going into FOMC | WSJ: SEC looking to relax quarterly reporting | Ukrai
Mar 1711 min read
Recap | 13 March 2026
| Iran digs in as US brings additional forces to the Middle East | Regional war and Strait of Hormuz blockage trigger unprecedented disruption | Naval escorts eyed for strait as countries address oil and gas shortages | Europe, Ukraine criticize US sanctions reprieve for Russia | Oil resumes advance as stocks and bonds languish | Persistent pre-war inflation, slowing growth present dual risks | White House, Senate push to address housing affordabilty | Federal judge quashes D
Mar 1512 min read
Recap | 11 March 2026
| Iran's effective closure of Strait of Hormuz threatens global economy | IEA announces historic release of oil reserves to little effect | Middle East economies rocked by regional warfare | Proclamations of success bely indeterminate war aims | Oil marches higher, stocks tread lightly against bond losses | Stale February inflation data show muted pre-war price gains | Central banks weigh prospect of lasting oil crisis against risks to economic growth | Cracks emerging in pri
Mar 1212 min read
Recap | 09 March 2026
Iran war extends reach, rhetoric escalates despite stated progress toward US goals Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei named supreme leader as hardliners assert control in Iran Fighting increasingly disrupts energy production and Strait of Hormuz transit US and G7 seek to alleviate oil and gas shortages Tumultuous oil trading points to exceptional uncertainty Prospects for accelerated peace lead to turnaround in stocks and government bonds Inflation concerns stemming from oil shock co
Mar 1010 min read
Recap | 06 March 2026
US demands Iran's capitulation to avoid protracted war Middle East pressures Iran to contain retaliation; Israel expands front in Lebanon Countries aim to secure energy infrastructure, maritime transit as fighting halts shipping Iran war changes Russia's oil fortunes; Ukraine's drone expertise in demand Risk assets falter amid energy price surge, credit concerns February employment declines disappoint while retail sales underwhelm Dueling risks from oil, weak labor market com
Mar 714 min read
Recap | 04 March 2026
US and Israel intensify strikes amid Iran's regional retaliation and expanding battlefield Iran evaluating succession plans as US floats "someone from within" to take over Regional confrontation and Strait of Hormuz attacks trigger cascading supply disruptions US to raise temporary tariff rate as refunds ordered; OECD warns on debt US equities recover after wild overnight trading losses in Asia Fed officials offer differing rate path outlooks as global inflation fears resurfa
Mar 512 min read
bottom of page